Why Singapore Avoids Borrowing & Keeps Taxes Low

Why Borrowing Isn’t a Free Lunch and How Investments Shield Against Higher Taxes

Singapore’s government debt, standing at approximately S$1.13 trillion in 2023, might suggest a nation heavily reliant on borrowing. Yet, this figure belies a unique fiscal reality: Singapore has no net debt, as its financial assets far exceed its liabilities. This strategic positioning reflects a deliberate choice to avoid borrowing as a casual tool for funding expenditure, prioritizing instead a disciplined approach that leverages investment returns to sustain public services. The nation’s fiscal model, built on decades of prudent planning, offers a compelling case study in balancing current needs with long-term stability, ensuring that taxes remain low without compromising economic resilience.

The Illusion of Borrowing as a Quick Fix

Borrowing to fund government expenditure might seem like an attractive option, especially for addressing immediate needs such as infrastructure development or social welfare programs. However, for a small, open economy like Singapore, this approach carries significant risks. The nation’s high gross debt-to-GDP ratio, around 170.8% in 2023, is primarily composed of securities issued to develop domestic capital markets and fund long-term investments, not to cover operational deficits. Unlike many countries where borrowing finances recurrent spending, Singapore’s debt is backed by substantial assets, ensuring no net debt burden. Increasing borrowing to fund ongoing expenses would introduce interest payment obligations, which could consume a growing share of the budget, potentially reaching 2-3% of GDP annually, as seen in other advanced economies.

Moreover, excessive borrowing could erode Singapore’s fiscal flexibility, a critical asset in a volatile global environment. The nation’s reserves, built through years of surplus budgets, have enabled rapid responses to crises, such as the S$40 billion drawdown from reserves during the COVID-19 pandemic between 2020 and 2022. Heavy reliance on borrowing would constrain this ability, leaving Singapore vulnerable to future economic shocks. Additionally, borrowing for non-productive spending risks burdening future generations with debt repayment, undermining the principle of intergenerational equity that underpins Singapore’s fiscal philosophy. While borrowing might provide short-term relief, it threatens long-term stability, making it an unsuitable strategy for a nation with Singapore’s economic profile.

The Power of Investment Returns

Singapore’s fiscal strategy hinges on the substantial returns generated by its sovereign wealth funds, GIC and Temasek Holdings, alongside the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). These entities manage the nation’s reserves, investing globally in diversified portfolios that include equities, bonds, real estate, and private equity. The Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC), derived from up to 50% of the long-term expected real returns from these investments, has become a cornerstone of Singapore’s budget. In Financial Year 2024, the NIRC contributed an estimated S$23.5 billion, equivalent to roughly 20% of the national budget, surpassing annual spending on education.

These investment returns provide a stable revenue stream that reduces the government’s reliance on taxes or borrowing. By channeling a portion of the returns into the budget, Singapore can fund critical public services—such as healthcare, housing, and infrastructure—without increasing the tax burden on citizens or businesses. This approach contrasts with many developed economies, where high debt levels and limited investment income necessitate higher taxes or spending cuts. The success of Singapore’s investment strategy lies in its long-term focus, ensuring that the principal reserves continue to grow, preserving wealth for future generations while supporting current needs.

Why Taxes Would Rise Without Prudent Investments

Without the significant contributions from the NIRC, Singapore would face a stark choice: raise taxes or cut public spending. The nation’s tax regime is notably competitive, with a corporate tax rate of 17% and a top personal income tax rate of 22%, significantly lower than in many advanced economies like the United States (37% top personal rate) or Germany (45%). This low-tax environment attracts foreign investment and talent, driving economic growth. However, maintaining current levels of public expenditure—projected at S$123.79 billion in Financial Year 2025—without the NIRC would require substantial tax increases, potentially doubling personal or corporate tax rates to close the revenue gap.

Such tax hikes would have far-reaching consequences. Higher taxes could reduce disposable income for households, dampen consumer spending, and weaken economic growth. Businesses, facing increased costs, might relocate to lower-tax jurisdictions, eroding Singapore’s status as a global financial hub. Alternatively, cutting public spending to avoid tax increases would compromise investments in education, healthcare, and infrastructure, undermining long-term competitiveness. The government’s prudent management of its investment assets, by generating consistent returns, allows Singapore to avoid these scenarios, maintaining a delicate balance between fiscal responsibility and economic dynamism.

Addressing Counterarguments: The Case for Borrowing

Some argue that Singapore could afford to borrow more, given its strong credit rating (AAA) and substantial reserves. Proponents of this view suggest that borrowing could fund transformative projects, such as climate resilience initiatives or advanced infrastructure, without immediately straining the budget. Low global interest rates in recent years have further fueled this argument, as borrowing costs have remained relatively affordable. For a nation with Singapore’s fiscal discipline, the risk of default seems remote, making borrowing appear as a viable tool to accelerate development.

However, this perspective overlooks the long-term implications of increased debt. Even with low interest rates, debt servicing costs accumulate over time, diverting resources from productive investments. Singapore’s small domestic market and reliance on global trade make it particularly sensitive to external economic shocks, where rising interest rates or currency fluctuations could amplify debt burdens. Moreover, borrowing to fund projects with uncertain returns risks fiscal missteps, as seen in other nations where debt-financed initiatives failed to deliver expected economic benefits. Singapore’s current strategy of leveraging investment returns offers a more sustainable path, avoiding the pitfalls of debt while still funding critical priorities.

Intergenerational Equity and Fiscal Sustainability

Singapore’s fiscal philosophy is deeply rooted in the concept of intergenerational equity, ensuring that each generation contributes to and benefits from the nation’s wealth. The government’s decision to use only a portion of investment returns through the NIRC reflects this commitment, preserving the principal reserves for future needs. This approach contrasts with borrowing, which often shifts financial burdens onto future generations through higher taxes or reduced public services. By maintaining a no-net-debt position and growing its reserves, Singapore ensures that future citizens inherit a financially secure nation capable of addressing emerging challenges.

This focus on sustainability also enhances Singapore’s resilience in a rapidly changing global landscape. The nation’s reserves provide a buffer against economic downturns, geopolitical uncertainties, and demographic challenges, such as an aging population. For instance, the projected increase in healthcare spending, expected to rise from S$13.6 billion in 2020 to S$27 billion by 2030 due to demographic shifts, underscores the need for robust financial reserves. Singapore’s investment-driven fiscal model positions it to meet these challenges without resorting to unsustainable borrowing or punitive tax increases, securing both present and future prosperity.

A Model for the Future

Singapore’s fiscal strategy offers a powerful lesson in balancing immediate needs with long-term responsibility. By eschewing excessive borrowing and leveraging investment returns, the nation maintains low taxes, funds robust public services, and preserves wealth for future generations. This approach not only ensures economic stability but also reinforces Singapore’s position as a global leader in fiscal prudence. As other nations grapple with rising debt and fiscal deficits, Singapore’s model demonstrates the value of disciplined financial management in navigating an uncertain world.

​Looking ahead, Singapore must continue to refine its investment strategies to sustain high returns in a volatile global market. Policymakers should also engage citizens to build understanding and support for fiscal policies that prioritize long-term stability over short-term gains. For other economies, Singapore’s experience suggests that building and managing financial reserves can provide a sustainable alternative to borrowing, fostering resilience and prosperity in an era of economic complexity. By staying true to its principles of prudence and foresight, Singapore sets a benchmark for fiscal responsibility that others would do well to emulate.

Shaun

Founder

With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.

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Analyst, Trader

With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.

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