South Korea's Economic Crisis

South Korea Faces Unprecedented Political and Economic Crisis

South Korea is currently embroiled in an extraordinary political and economic crisis, shaking the foundations of its democratic institutions and undermining economic stability. This unprecedented turmoil began with a dramatic and controversial declaration of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol on December 3, 2024. Though the martial law was lifted within hours following intense domestic and international backlash, the fallout continues to reverberate across the nation.

Impeachment of Two Leaders

The National Assembly impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol on December 14, 2024, suspending his presidential powers. This action stemmed from his decision to impose martial law, which was seen as an overreach of executive authority and a threat to South Korea’s democratic principles. The Constitutional Court has begun deliberations on whether to uphold the impeachment, a process that could take up to six months, leaving the country in a precarious leadership vacuum.

Compounding the political chaos, Acting President and Prime Minister Han Duck-soo was also impeached on December 27, 2024. His refusal to appoint three judges to fill vacancies in the Constitutional Court—critical to resolving President Yoon’s impeachment case—was cited as the main reason for his impeachment. This unprecedented dual impeachment has left South Korea without a clear head of state, plunging the government into deeper instability.

A Weakening Won and Investor Confidence

The political crisis has severely undermined South Korea’s economic stability. The South Korean won has depreciated significantly against major currencies. As of December 27, 2024, the won traded at approximately 1,473.55 per U.S. dollar, its weakest level in nearly 16 years. This marks a sharp decline from earlier in the year, reflecting shaken investor confidence and increasing capital outflows.

The won’s depreciation has also been pronounced against regional currencies. The Singapore dollar strengthened considerably, with S$1 trading at 1,085.22 won on December 27, a year-to-date decline of nearly 9.5%. The weakening currency has amplified inflationary pressures, making imports more expensive and eroding purchasing power for businesses and households.

Financial Markets in Turmoil

South Korea’s financial markets have mirrored the broader instability. The KOSPI, South Korea’s benchmark stock index, has experienced a sharp selloff, falling over 12% in December alone. Foreign investors have been net sellers of South Korean equities for weeks, pulling out billions of dollars amid concerns over governance and policy uncertainty.

The bond market has not been spared. Yields on South Korean government bonds have risen sharply, reflecting increased risk premiums. The 10-year bond yield surged to 4.5%, up from 3.8% earlier in the month, as investors demanded higher returns to compensate for perceived political and economic risks.

Economic Growth at Risk

The ongoing turmoil has cast a long shadow over South Korea’s economic growth prospects. Once a beacon of stability in Asia, the country is now facing potential downgrades in its credit ratings. Moody’s and S&P Global Ratings have placed South Korea’s sovereign debt on negative watch, citing heightened political risks and their implications for economic management.

Domestic consumption and investment have shown signs of contraction. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which form the backbone of South Korea’s economy, are particularly vulnerable as borrowing costs rise and consumer demand weakens. Major export sectors, including semiconductors and automobiles, are also feeling the heat as global investors reassess their exposure to the South Korean market.

Public Discontent and Social Unrest

The political crisis has ignited widespread public protests across the nation. Citizens are demanding accountability, the restoration of democratic norms, and the resolution of the leadership vacuum. Protesters have gathered in major cities such as Seoul and Busan, calling for systemic reforms to prevent similar crises in the future.

The erosion of trust in political institutions is palpable. Public sentiment has turned sharply against the political elite, whom many view as prioritizing personal power over national stability. This discontent is fueling demands for constitutional amendments to safeguard democratic governance.

Implications for International Relations

South Korea’s instability has raised alarm among its international allies, particularly the United States. With a significant military presence in the country, the U.S. relies on South Korea’s stable governance to address regional security challenges, including North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. The ongoing crisis risks undermining these efforts and complicating diplomatic relations.

Regional economic ties are also at risk. South Korea’s role as a key player in global supply chains, particularly in technology and manufacturing, could be jeopardized if the political and economic instability persists. Neighboring countries, including Japan and China, are closely monitoring the situation, concerned about potential ripple effects on trade and regional cooperation.

A Nation at a Crossroads

South Korea’s immediate priority is to resolve the political deadlock and restore confidence in its governance. The Constitutional Court’s decision on President Yoon’s impeachment will be pivotal. In the meantime, interim leadership must work to stabilize the economy, reassure investors, and address public concerns.

Long-term solutions will require systemic reforms to strengthen democratic institutions and ensure greater accountability. Measures such as judicial independence, checks on executive power, and transparent governance will be critical to rebuilding public trust and preventing future crises.

Conclusion

​South Korea stands at a critical juncture, facing one of the most challenging periods in its modern history. The interplay of political instability and economic fragility underscores the urgent need for decisive action to restore stability and safeguard the nation’s future. How South Korea navigates this crisis will not only shape its domestic trajectory but also its role on the global stage.

Shaun

Founder

With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.

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Founder, Analyst

With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.

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