Singapore Home Sales Surge to Decade-High in November 2024: What’s Next?

In November 2024, Singapore's property market experienced a surge in sales, marking the highest figures in over a decade. According to data released by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA), developers sold 2,557 new private homes, the most for any single month since March 2013. This surge in sales not only highlights a recovery in the housing sector but also raises concerns about potential government interventions to curb the boom. The resurgence comes on the back of multiple mass-market project launches, increased buyer activity, and favorable borrowing conditions. The government's response to this surge will likely include further housing measures aimed at addressing rising home prices and affordability issues.

Surge in Private Home Sales

In November, private home sales saw a remarkable 246.5% increase compared to the 738 units sold in October 2024. Excluding executive condominiums (ECs), a total of 2,557 private homes were sold in November. When ECs are included, the figure rises to 2,891 units, significantly surpassing the 800 units sold and 970 units launched in the same month in 2023. This surge reflects a dramatic shift in the housing market, which had been subdued earlier in the year. Developers launched 3,375 units in November, including several high-profile projects. The wave of new launches, combined with declining borrowing costs and pent-up demand, fueled this spike in sales.

The recent uptick also reflects the ongoing interest in new private homes in a relatively tight market, with some experts attributing the spike to the availability of more affordable new launches and improved buyer sentiment. Analysts also highlighted that the strong sales were supported by the market’s recovery from earlier pandemic-related slowdowns, and the momentum is expected to continue into the coming months as several more large-scale projects are planned​.

The biggest contributors to this uptick were large-scale projects, including Emerald of Katong, which sold nearly all of its 846 units. Other projects, such as Chuan Park, saw strong sales with almost 80% of its 916 units sold. Suburban areas, particularly those in the Outside Central Region, accounted for a significant share of the sales. Suburban projects, often more affordable than central ones, have become particularly attractive to buyers looking for more spacious options in the wake of shifting work and lifestyle patterns caused by the pandemic.

Government Concerns Over Housing Affordability

This boom in sales has renewed speculation that the Singaporean government will implement further curbs on the property market to address rising home prices and ensure housing remains affordable for Singaporeans. The government has already taken steps to cool the housing market in recent years, including raising stamp duties for foreign buyers in 2023. However, the market's resilience and the rapid pace of sales are now raising concerns that additional measures may be necessary to prevent further price inflation.

As of now, there are no official statements from the government regarding new policies, but experts and analysts are closely monitoring the situation. Barclays analysts, for example, have warned that the government might take more "aggressive" steps if the housing market does not slow down soon. Similarly, Citigroup has predicted that the recent dip in prices could reverse if the strong buyer interest continues, potentially exacerbating policy risks.

The Broader Impact on Singapore's Housing Market

The surge in private home sales in Singapore comes at a time when the country is facing a broader housing affordability issue, especially in the rental market. According to recent reports, Singapore has emerged as the most expensive city for renters globally, with a one-bedroom apartment now costing an average of S$3,636 per month. The city's growing population, coupled with a limited supply of housing, has led to increased competition in the rental market, particularly among expatriates who do not have access to subsidized Housing Development Board (HDB) flats.

This issue of affordability, both for home buyers and renters, is becoming a significant concern for Singapore's long-term economic and social stability. High housing costs are also having an impact on younger Singaporeans, with a recent study by Nanyang Technological University (NTU) revealing that many young people are delaying or forgoing parenthood due to financial concerns, particularly high housing costs. The study highlights the unintended social consequences of high housing prices, as the cost of living in Singapore becomes increasingly difficult for younger generations to manage.

Future Outlook for the Property Market

Looking ahead, analysts are closely watching the government's actions and the broader economic environment. The Singaporean government has already committed to increasing land supply for private homes, with plans to offer sites for about 8,505 private homes in the first half of 2025. However, with strong demand continuing to outpace supply, it remains to be seen whether these measures will be sufficient to cool the market.

While there are concerns about rising prices and affordability, the boom in property sales is also seen as a positive sign for Singapore's economy, which has largely recovered from the economic disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The property market has always been a key component of Singapore’s economic engine, and the resurgence in sales reflects a return to confidence among developers and buyers alike.

However, whether this confidence will translate into sustained growth or prompt the government to intervene further is still unclear. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether Singapore's property market can maintain its momentum or if more curbs are on the horizon to maintain affordability and balance the market.

Conclusion

​The surge in Singapore's home sales in November 2024 underscores the strength of the country's property market recovery, fueled by pent-up demand, lower borrowing costs, and several large-scale project launches. However, this resurgence has raised concerns about affordability, with the government likely to respond with further measures aimed at cooling the market. As the situation evolves, both developers and buyers will need to remain cautious, balancing the current optimism with the potential for government intervention in the months ahead. With the continued rise in rental costs and broader housing affordability issues, Singapore faces significant challenges in ensuring that housing remains accessible for all its residents.

Shaun

Founder

With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.

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Founder, Analyst

With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.

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