Navigating Consumer Sentiment and Market Implications
Singapore Airlines (SIA) has unveiled a transformative revamp of its KrisFlyer frequent flyer programme, set to launch on 1 November 2025. This overhaul, featuring adjustments to mileage redemption rates and a new dynamic pricing model, has sparked a range of reactions among consumers, prompting a closer look at its implications for SIA’s market standing and investor confidence. As global capital markets keep a keen eye on consumer-driven sectors, the revamp’s impact on loyalty programme engagement and SIA’s competitive position is under scrutiny, with potential effects rippling through the airline’s financial health.
Consumer Sentiment Evolves with Redemption Adjustments
The KrisFlyer overhaul tweaks mileage requirements: business and suites/first saver awards rise 5% for Asia and Southwest Pacific flights, while economy saver awards drop 5%. Europe and US routes see a 5% hike, with 10-20% increases for Africa, the Middle East, and Turkey. Advantage rates climb 10-15%, with Zone 10 (Africa, Middle East, Turkey) up 5% (economy), 18% (business), and 15% (suites/first). CARMA data shows positive sentiment falling to 29.1% from 32.1%, with negative sentiment up to 16.4% from 11.2%, as many feel miles are “increasingly difficult and expensive to redeem” and “diminishing the value of miles.” - This could shift behaviour, especially for premium cabin flyers. In Singapore, where hikes concern locals, and Indonesia, with popular KrisFlyer cards, consumers explore rivals’ programmes. X posts hint at benefits for economy travellers on intra-Asia routes, but data is lacking. W
ith Q1 FY2025/26 showing a 87.6% load factor and 10.3 million passengers, yet a 58.8% net profit drop to SGD 186 million, SIA must balance profitability and loyalty.
Strategic Moves and Competitive Landscape
To counter the backlash, SIA is rolling out enhancements to KrisFlyer. From 1 November 2025, the “Access redemption” option lets members book confirmed flights with miles, even when standard seats are taken, using demand-based pricing. This aligns with industry trends towards flexibility, potentially boosting revenue on busy routes, though undisclosed pricing raises transparency concerns, with some speculating about peak-time mile inflation.
Since 1 September 2025, members can earn PPS Value or KrisFlyer Elite miles through non-flight activities like Kris+ shopping, KrisShop purchases, and Pelago experiences, with PPS Club members gaining one PPS Value per SGD 3 and KrisFlyer members one Elite mile per SGD 1. The miles-and-cash option, effective 1 July 2025, now values 100 miles at SGD 1 (approximately USD 0.77), adding flexibility.These initiatives aim to deepen engagement within SIA’s ecosystem, which includes 10 million KrisFlyer members as of March 2025 and partnerships with over 1,700 brands. The recent 20% miles discount on economy saver flights and 30% Kris+ transfer bonus reflect efforts to retain members amid competition. However, past devaluations, like the 2022 move dubbed “sneaky” by some, hint at trust issues.
With Q1 FY2025/26 showing a 3.2% rise in expenditure to SGD 4.39 billion and a 2.9% yield drop, SIA’s premium positioning faces pressure. Investors will assess if these enhancements can offset the sentiment shift and sustain market share against rivals like Emirates, which reported strong profits.
Market Implications and Future Prospects
Q1 FY2025/26 saw SGD 4.79 billion revenue (up 1.5%) but a SGD 186 million net profit, down 58.8%, with a SGD 109 million fuel hedging loss. The 87.6% load factor and Airbus A350 retrofit (USD 825 million) show strength, yet premium market risks loom, with 48% of locals as KrisFlyer members. Dynamic pricing could boost revenue but may alienate loyalists. Post-November 2025 data will test SIA’s strategy.

Shaun
Founder
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With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.
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