Singapore’s private resale property market appears poised for continued price growth, driven by a declining supply of available homes. According to property consultancy OrangeTee, the number of condo completions, excluding executive condominiums, has significantly decreased. From nearly 20,000 units completed in 2023, the figure is projected to drop to 9,100 this year, with even fewer—around 5,300 units—expected by 2025. A modest recovery to 7,700 units is anticipated in 2026. OrangeTee suggests that, barring major economic crises, this tight supply coupled with possible interest rate cuts could offer favorable conditions for resale homeowners.
Despite these challenges, the resale market is showing resilience. In the third quarter of 2024, resale volumes experienced a slight 1.5% quarter-on-quarter increase to 3,860 units. Over the first nine months of the year, activity surged with 10,351 units sold, a robust 21.8% increase from the previous year. The strong recovery is partly attributed to the housing supply boom over the past two years, with close to 30,000 private homes completed.
Shifting to the rental market, contrasting patterns are emerging. Private rental demand has soared, evidenced by a 24.4% quarterly increase in volume to 25,731 units in Q3. On the other hand, public housing rentals, such as HDB leases, have weakened, with volumes falling 4.6% to 9,118 units. For 2024, HDB leasing demand is expected to drop to 36,500-38,000 units, compared to over 39,000 units in 2023. OrangeTee notes that the year-end holiday season could further dampen public rental activity.
Interestingly, the moderation in private rents might draw more demand away from the HDB market, creating opportunities within the private rental space. OrangeTee estimates that the number of leased private homes could reach 85,000 to 88,000 by year-end, underscoring this segment’s increasing appeal. The rental landscape, therefore, is evolving, with economic shifts and housing supply trends playing key roles in shaping the market dynamics.

Shaun
Founder
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Founder, Analyst
With over a decade of expertise spanning investment advisory, investment banking analysis, oil trading, and financial advisory roles, RealisedGains is committed to empowering retail investors to achieve lasting financial well-being. By delivering meticulously curated investment insights and educational programs, RealisedGains equips individuals with the knowledge and tools to make sophisticated, informed financial decisions.
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